The Guardian: The influence of Donald Trump will evaporate once he leaves office… Here’s why

The Guardian newspaper published an article entitled “Donald Trump effect will evaporate as soon as he left office… Here’s why”.

The article discusses the future of the US president after leaving the White House.

The author of the article, Julius Crane, responded to speculation about Trump’s future role, by questioning the US president’s maintenance of a large voter base that would allow him to run for the presidency again in 2024.

“It seems likely that Trump’s path will bring him over time closer to partners like Steve Bannon and Rudy Giuliani who provide medium podcasts and sell branded merchandise as they try to avoid prosecution,” says Crane.

“The media’s insistence that Trump will be a giant political force for years to come, looks similar to that call five years ago, that he is nothing but a passing famous candidate,” the writer said.

He adds in the article that this belief is based on the view that Trump’s political appeal is primarily based on a “cult of personality” and not linked to a specific set of political arguments.

Trump won in 2016 because he summarized a critique of the bipartisan political consensus that has dominated US politics since the end of the Cold War: a failed combination of neoliberal economics at home and military adventures abroad.

He believes that “the critical political factors that distinguished Trump from others in his first campaign have diminished dramatically since then”.

“It is clear that the Republican establishment has changed Trump more than it has changed the party,” says the author of the article. 

And that “the shift in rhetoric over four years was clear”.

He also notes that if Trump enters the 2024 race, “he will find the populist path to the Republican primaries more crowded” this time.

He added, “Despite his four years in office, Trump has basically not built new long-term infrastructure or donor networks that can sustain a distinct and lasting political movement, even if it is entirely self-centered”.