Outside the White House… Trump faces an uncertain future

US President Donald Trump is leaving the White House next month, but his absence from the scene will not be in peace.

After the failure of his legal efforts to change the outcome of the November 3 election, which ended in victory for Democratic politician Joe Biden, and the electoral college approved its results on Monday, Trump will return to his personal life on January 20 with many opportunities.

Among these opportunities are the possibility of his candidacy for the presidency again in 2024 or entering into new media projects, but potential judicial risks and business challenges cast a shadow over them.

What is certain is that Trump’s thirst for the spotlight will inevitably make him not follow in the footsteps of former US presidents such as George W. Bush, who quietly turned to painting, or Jimmy Carter, who was involved in global human rights activities.

Trump’s future as his presidency is likely to be tumultuous, impulsive, confrontational and challenging. 

Nor will Trump’s future be completely under his control.

He faces various civil and criminal lawsuits relating to his family’s businesses and activities prior to assuming the presidency. 

These endeavors may gain momentum simply by stripping him of the legal privileges given to those in the Oval Office.

Trump, the real estate developer turned reality TV star, has been considering several maneuvers to stay in the spotlight.

Trump, who has refused to admit defeat to Biden and continues to make baseless allegations of widespread fraud in the election, has told his allies that he is considering running again for the presidency.

Rather, he discussed not attending Biden’s inauguration and announcing his candidacy in the 2024 elections that day, in a move that would allow him to continue the tumultuous rallies he relied on in 2016 and 2020.

This complicates matters in front of a long list of other Republicans considering running in 2024, such as Vice President Mike Pence, former Washington’s ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley, and Senators Marco Rubio and Tom Cotton, who will have to discuss the issue before making a decision to compete with Trump.

But this step would be one of the types of steps out of the rules and standards and the familiar Trump has. 

The US Constitution allows the president to be elected for two terms, and they do not have to be consecutive.

Grover Cleveland is the only US president to hold office for two non-consecutive terms.

He left the White House in 1889 after losing a second term and won the presidency again in 1893.

Trump has already set up a political action committee that will allow him to raise money and exert influence in the party after he leaves office, whether he runs again or not.

Trump’s desire to preserve his political influence was also evident in his recent support for his close ally, Rona McDaniel, to chair the Republican National Committee for another term.

Committee members will vote in late January for McDaniel to remain in office and this will be an early test of Trump’s remaining influence and the Republicans’ willingness to bend the party to his will.

Advisers said Trump, who previously hosted the reality TV show “The Apprentice”, has also discussed a number of potential media projects to stay in the spotlight, including launching a television channel or social media company to compete with companies the president feels have betrayed him.

The new TV channel will raise the banner of defiance to Fox News, which was a close ally of Trump before it infuriated him since the elections for not supporting him enough, he said. 

Aides said Trump was outraged by Fox News for speaking on election night about Biden’s victory in the swing state of Arizona, when the outcome was not yet confirmed.

Biden eventually won Arizona, but most other television networks did not report the president-elect won the term until days later.

Trump may collaborate with conservative TV networks such as One America’s News Network or Newsmax, which have been focused heavily on projecting a positive image of Trump.

Trump also discussed with his advisers a plan to start a social media company to rival Twitter, which has repeatedly posted warnings about Trump’s tweet content about unfounded allegations of election fraud.

However, Trump faces great financial challenges, including the damage to the commercial activities that bear his name under his leadership, which have aroused the polarization, as well as the impact of his holding companies in the fields of real estate, travel and entertainment by the Coronavirus pandemic.

Forbes magazine in September estimated that Trump’s net worth fell by $ 600 million last year to $ 2.5 billion. 

The New York Times reported that Trump had provided $ 421 million in personal guarantees for his companies.

As soon as Trump leaves the presidency, he will find himself forced to face many judicial issues that will all become more threatening to him after he loses the legal protection he received in ex officio.

Manhattan District Court attorney Cyrus Vance is conducting a criminal investigation into Trump and his family’s company, The Trump Organization.

The investigation initially focused on pre-election payments to buy the silence of two women who said they had sex with Trump, which the president denies.

But Vance, who belongs to the Democratic Party, indicated in recent court documents that the investigation has expanded and may now focus on banking, tax and insurance fraud, as well as falsifying business records. 

Trump said the case was politically motivated.

New York attorney general, Letita James, who is also a Democrat, is conducting an investigation into Trump and the family business being charged with tax fraud. 

The investigation began after former Trump attorney Michael Cohen told Congress that the president inflated his asset values ​​to save money from loans and insurance and reduced them to lower property taxes.

The Trump Organization said the case was politically motivated. 

The case is civil and may lead to financial penalties, not imprisonment.

Trump is also facing separate defamation lawsuits related to two accusations of sexual assault, which Trump denies and directed against him.

Jane Carroll, a former writer for L magazine, and Samer Zervos, who was a contestant on the 2005 “The Apprentice” show.

The president’s niece, Mary Trump, has filed a lawsuit accusing him and two family members of fraud and conspiracy to deprive her of her share in the family’s real estate empire.

Trump may also face a criminal case filed by the US Department of Justice over federal income tax evasion charges. 

The New York Times recently reported that Trump only paid $ 750 in federal income taxes in 2016 and 2017.

Trump rejected the newspaper’s findings, and it was not clear if he had broken the law. 

Any federal trial will raise controversy. Biden is cautious about the matter and questions the value of such a trial, but says he will not interfere with the Justice Department’s opinion.