News regarding an advanced level of almost a preliminary agreement on managing the complex situation of the northern Syrian issue, specifically in the vicinity of Qamishli and the Syrian Kurdish region, which has been subject in practice and in the field to Turkish intelligence influence for several years.
According to diplomatic reports, Ankara began to prepare for the gathering of international cover after an understanding with Moscow on its new project on the Kurdish tape in northern Syria, considering that what will be agreed upon in that region is part of the larger understandings between Russia and Turkey in the Syrian issue.
What is completely new is that Ankara has reached an exceptional understanding with the Russian military establishment to avoid a military confrontation, regardless of field considerations.
The agreement concluded by the defense ministries of the two countries three days ago was an understanding in its content not to resort to any military escalation of any kind, respect and appreciation of Turkish concerns, and work with active diplomacy to address any problems that arise in the field without firing or within a political framework.
To accomplish this mission, a Turkish-Russian bilateral committee was formed that includes military officials, experts and advisers in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, with the aim of agreeing on any details required by the field situation.
It seems that Ankara is really on its way because it “does not object” in any way to framing a form of administrative autonomy for the Kurds of Syria for a six-month transition period, provided that a referendum for the people of the Syrian Kurdish region follows, similar to what Russia did twice in the past.
The referendum that Turkey wants, Turkish officials began talking about it in some diplomatic channels, and it is a referendum related to the Kurdish demographic bloc in northern Syria deciding one of three options, which is to join Turkey, return to the Syrian state, or remain in a state of autonomy.
It seems that Russia, which does not object to this scenario, in turn, obtained defensive facilities in return, and a series of agreements related to gas investments in the Mediterranean, and similar understandings between Moscow and Ankara in the north of Syria may follow similar understandings in the Libyan issue.
Russia, according to in-depth reports and in a pragmatic context, and in return for stopping Turkish military action against the Syrian government, supported the Turkish vision behind the curtain, and the understandings were obtained without consulting the regime in practice.
However, it was noted that the Syrian regime, meanwhile, did not attack those Russian-Turkish understandings, as the name of the referendum began to jump in the Kurdish regions in northern Syria with a measure of normalization and without objection in the diplomatic channels.
It is likely that Turkey wants to remain in a state of logistical support for the service systems in the Syrian Kurdish village chain.
It is also likely that Turkey can pay the money here and base its accounts on the absolute conviction that the referendum in the end and in the face of division and rupture inside Syria will favor the option of joining Turkey according to the Cyprus model.
Among the remarkable developments in the context is that all parties concerned with the Syrian equation after the US Caesar Act implicitly negotiated with the Syrian state itself the features and details of President Bashar al Assad’s second term, which may include seven years of his continued presence with the regime, but in the context of a new regional and international equation.