By: Syrializm Analytics
Last week, at the sight of US President Donald Trump, Russia and China practically reorganized the next international order.
They didn’t do this together, but they took advantage of the uncertainty and instability that Trump contributed to.
It is not clear whether the next US president will be able to remedy the consequences of this week, which leaves both Presidents Vladimir Putin in Moscow and Xi Jinping in Beijing more decisive in controlling their countries and more capable to act decisively.
In other words, Trump has left an indelible imprint on the world, and it may not be a good imprint, as described by Nick Robertson, editor of international diplomacy at CNN, in an article published by the network.
How did Russia and China strengthen their fists?
It is no accident that Putin and Xi strengthened their grip on precious targets as Trump’s first, and possibly final, state is nearing completion.
Last week, after a referendum on constitutional amendments in Russia, Putin became a lifelong chief practitioner, while Chinese President Xi mobilized with the same amount of strength, imposing his control of Hong Kong through a new national security law, while telling allies of the United States, Canada, Australia, and the United Kingdom, by staying away from Chinese internal affairs.
Both seem to think that the United States has neither the will nor the consistency to raise the level of resistance.
In fact, the White House presented evidence of this vision this week, as it floundered in providing a coherent response to allegations that Russia had paid money to the Taliban to kill American forces in Afghanistan.
The Russian embassy in Washington and the Taliban have denied the allegations.
As David Ignatius wrote in the Washington Post this week, Putin “is involved in the revenge.
He believes that the United States destroyed his former country, the Soviet Union.
He would like the United States to feel pain” He now has many years of more revenge.
On the other hand, Vice President of the White House press spokeswoman Sarah Matthews said, “President Trump is a world-class negotiator, who has continuously promoted American interests on the world stage”.
Trump is convinced that he can bully or bully any foreign leader!
Former senior US officials gave a very different opinion to CNN journalist Carl Bernstein.
They believe that Trump is “delusional” about his ability to subjugate other leaders to his agenda, believing that he can “either charm almost any foreign leader, or pressure him to persuade him, or bully him to submit him to his will”.
However, according to one of Bernstein’s sources, “Putin is only superior to him”.
Bernstein was told that “Trump’s fawning of powerful dictators, his ignorance of history and his unwillingness” all endanger US national security.
Whether it comes to Putin’s vengeance or Xi’s decision to violate and weaken the Hong Kong agreement signed with the United Kingdom in 1984, both leaders seem to see opportunities in the current situation.
It started with his weakness with Russia in Syria
Let’s go back three years, when Russian Foreign Minister, Sergey Lavrov, visited the Oval Office the next day to isolate Trump, FBI director James Comey.
Comey was overseeing investigations into allegations of Russian interference in the elections.
The lenses of an official Russian photographer picked up feelings of intimacy, while Trump was telling his visitors: “I just sacked the director of the FBI… He was crazy, and a goofy person”.
Two months later, Trump met Putin – alone – on the sidelines of the G20 summit.
The White House boasted the meeting as a success, and highlighted a new cease-fire agreement in Syria.
The Russians took advantage of the agreement lightly to freeze the conflict, which allowed the Syrian-backed Syrian army to target and control areas controlled by armed militias one by one.
Trump could have protested, shattered the agreement, and crafted a new US policy toward Syria that would hamper Russia’s growing influence in the Middle East.
Instead, he believed the lie.
This will be a recurring issue.
In his book “The Room Where It Happened”, Trump’s former national security adviser John Bolton mentions Trump’s 2018 meeting with Putin in the Finnish capital, Helsinki.
Bolton writes: “Bolton must have been laughing loudly about what he got out of the meeting,” after Trump accepted Putin’s assurances there that there had been no Russian interference in the 2016 US election campaign.
Xi’s experience with Trump was different.
After Xi got stuck with him in a trade war, he had to appreciate Trump’s real intention: on money, other issues like the Uighurs and Hong Kong, and simply stopping the rise of the next major power in the world.
“Two years ago, a former Chinese diplomat who spent many years in Europe told me in very precise terms, that Trump is deliberately preventing China from taking its natural place in the world as an advanced high-tech economy,” the report’s author says.
The Trump administration is trying to persuade allies not to rely on Huawei in 5G networks.
But those allies are less willing to say “no”, in part because of China’s trade power, and also because their relations with the United States have been weakened.
While Trump has been hailed as a confrontation by China over its trade policies, commercial espionage and intellectual property theft, his methods are under fire.
In an analysis of the Council on Foreign Relations, Robert Blackwell wrote: “Now the challenge for the president and his successors will be to persuade Beijing, by enhancing the visibility of American power, more powerful alliances, and more brilliant diplomacy, that the United States will be stronger than ever in Asia, and that You will face a bug